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BPIF survey reveals printers' confidence 'lowest for more than two years'

Printers' confidence in the market is the lowest for more than two years, but prices are increasing and the industry is looking to the future with confidence, according to the latest BPIF Directions survey.

The research also found there was a net reduction in staff rates, equivalent to 1% of headcount at the companies surveyed.

This was, the report said, a cost reduction exercise but also an adjustment to "lower volumes and reduced profitability".

Economist David Ross, author and compiler of the report, said: "Of the 90 respondents, 41 said the quarter was poorer than expected. The responses of several [companies] clearly indicated they were in distress and begged the question as to whether they would survive into 2009."

The report revealed that the economic slowdown had had an effect on capacity with 74% of companies working below capacity over the last quarter - the highest third-quarter figure since 2002 – although this was a sequential reduction from the 87% reported in the previous quarter.

Increased prices were reported at the highest level since October 1995, however Ross said that this was "solely a reaction to higher costs, not an attempt to rebuild ever-narrowing margins".

Many were, however, looking ahead with optimism with 32 of the 90 respondents predicting that margins would rise in the coming quarter and a large majority predicting that volumes would rise in the run-up to Christmas.

Ross concluded: "If the current economic conditions prevail beyond Christmas, there is a danger that the industry will see some of the toughest conditions since the early 1990s recession."

Does your experience of the last three months match the survey? Leave your comments below.

Comments

the nugget - 25 September 2008

Prices are increasing?!? Don't know where that came from - the only increases we have seen are in our consumables costs and I don't know of anyone who is raising their prices due to increasing costs and passing them on to their customers.

Most people I speak to are fighting to survive at the moment!

Mark Snee - 25 September 2008

I don't know how far back Mr Ross's experience goes, but I think he will have to go back much further than the 1990s recession, which had a limited impact on the printing industry if you look at print volumes from 1985 to 2000.

I have just been having a similar discussion with a couple of local businesses - a DIY shop and a car dealer; the shop-keeper said the situation was far worse than the 1990s recession and he compared it to the 1970s and the 3-day week for a similar collapse in trading.

My own experience of the last three months is an accelerating decline in economic activity. I think we will be slightly up on last year by the end of this month \(H1) but I won't be at all surprised if we end up painting the factory for the next six months.

- 25 September 2008

There have been many recessions - if you wish to know about the future read history.

Businesses are all about inspiration, innovation, investment and involvement of time to be successful.

"Destiny is not a matter of chance, it is a matter of choice. It is not a thing to be waited for, it is a thing to be achieved."

-- Jeremy Kitson

Colin Thompson

Managing Partner

Cavendish

www.cavendish-mr.org.uk

the nugget - 26 September 2008

colin you really need to get out more

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